The Cuban Government After Castro
Recently, Fidel Castro ceded power to his brother, Raul, while undergoing stomach surgery. This action fueled speculation as to Cuba's future. As Cuban exiles rejoiced in Miami streets, believing that Castro was near death, political and business figures sat poised, ready to engage in a new trading partner. Although a new dialogue with the United States will most certainly evolve with Castro's death, it is unlikely that the Cuban government will undergo swift dramatic changes. Many experts, such as Terry McCoy, a Latin American studies professor at the University of Florida, believes that a change in leadership may not necessarily mean an immediate end to the Communist nation's current regime (Rigney 2006). McCoy says the question is whether Raul, who is less charismatic and lacks the leadership qualities of Fidel, can hold onto power, but believes the government will survive in the short term (Rigney 2006). According to McCoy, the succession plan "first involves Raul Castro and then a circle of much younger successors, who would run the country through some type of collective leadership" (Rigney 2006). However, it is doubtful that Raul or his successors would "'usher in a new era of leadership," and no one should expect a
One, upon orders of Fidel, has murdered not only enemies but also Raul's own close associate and friend, General Arnaldo Ochoa, while the other Raul stays close to his parents and is proud of his roots, something Fidel eschews (Nigro 2006). Raul was so successful in the communist movement that it was he and Ernesto Guevara who pushed Fidel into "quickening consolidation of dictatorial rule, aligning Cuba with the U. The five groups were established about the same time that the intelligence community was increasing its monitoring of Cuba, and CIA veteran Patrick Maher was appointed as acting mission manager for Cuba and Venezuela, a post that had been planned before the news of Castro's health problems (Bachelet 2006). Conceivably, large firms could strike deals that would enable them to create their own free-trade zone, where they controlled rent and employee costs (Ashby 2006). Rodriguez ended assistance because the leaders they trained would eventually immigrate to the United States, thus the impact they had hoped for was not successful (Marx 2006). Succession in the Cuban government has long been an issue of speculation, however, it appears doubtful that the Cuban population, which has withheld its demands out of respect for Fidel and fear of government/police tactics, will defer their demands for improvement forever, for the communists will have little chance of surviving once Cuba's rallying point exits the scene (Leaders 2001). The majority of Cuban observers expect a post-Fidel government will remain communist, but will be more pro-Western with closer ties to a free market environment, similar to what seems to be evolving in China (Ashby 2006). Says McCoy, "Castro's government is the only one they know, and it has provided them with jobs, health care and education. to make a deal with Fidel to normalize relations before the leader's demise and Cuba entered a period of socialist orthodoxy (Leaders 2001). funding to assist Cuban farmers sided with the opposition, several leaders he once funded are now in exile (Marx 2006).
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