Arms Control
One of the greatest long-term threats to world stability is the threat of spreading nuclear weapons and the means to deliver these weapons. In the forefront of this threat is North Korea, which is developing a nuclear arsenal with the intentions of selling its military hardware. This is also the most difficult problem facing the United States and South Korea today. In light of this, there is no good solution to curbing the North's ambition. Preemption, Quarantine, and Incentives all carry unacceptable risks.A policy of preemption will risk the destruction of Seoul and the death of hundreds of thousands of our allies in the South. With the North's advanced missile and mortar capability, military analysts face an inevitable crisis if the US and her allies do use initial force. Like the problem that faced the United States in the cold war against the Soviets, the South's key military and civilian instillations are locked on to by the North's medium range missiles and cannons that carry the capability of firing shells deep into the heart of Seoul. It is impossible to take out all these threats with a first wave strike. A policy of quarantine would leave the North Korean war machine in operation and would only hope t
Urging South Korea to offer shipments of fertilizer and food to persuade the North to return to the negotiating table can be beneficial as long it is backed up by a hard line policy by the United States insisting it will take North Korea to the UN security council. These countries include: Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. The key to getting North Korea back to the negotiating table is China. While six nation talks have been staled, North Korea has claimed it has produced several nuclear warheads. However, they can be traveled as long as we understand both the lessons of the past that didn't work and the current possibilities that not longer appear plausible should be learned from. Not only that but it would better polish its image in South Korea where student protest occur almost daily pleading for the withdrawal of US troops from South Korea. They are one of the only nations with the capability to pressure the North, economically, by insisting it will cut economic aid to the famine stricken nation. o prevent the exporting of deadly weapons. This would in turn threaten Taiwan, whose views itself sovereign from China. A policy of Incentives, which was first established by President Clinton, allowed a "carrot" approach to entice the North Koreans to suspend their nuclear weapons programs. A system of both give and pull should be implemented in order to pave a path towards a safer Korean peninsula. China, in a logical diplomatic move, may chose to further build it's military might to ensure its dominance of Asia. With an abundant supply of world buyers and an evolving, covert operation to deliver these weapons a policy of quarantine is, for all practical reasons, useless. The first is to stick with six nation talks. In the short term this may seem feasible but in the long term, when North Korea has built a number of functioning nuclear warheads, it is probable that they will find an undercover way to move the warheads out of the country to our other enemies.
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