as a society changes
With each passing day, people age, babies are born,and people die. Yet, as each day passes on, what happens tothe population? Does a majority of the population fall within acertain age bracket, and if so, what is that age bracket?Peter, is the founder and president of Global BusinessNetwork, an organization which studies business anddemographic trends. He presents an argument stating that amajority of the population will be teenagers in the 21st century(49). Schwartz's argument is refuted by Wolfgang Lutz, headof the Population Project of the International Institute ofApplied Systems Analysis, who feels that the populationtrends of the 21st century will lead to the elderly being thedominant age group (57). Schwartz feels that the young willbe the majority, and Lutz feels that the elderly would be asignificant minority not a majority, therefore there will alwaysbe a workforce large enough to provide for the needs of the According to Schwartz, people under 25 constitutemore than 52% of the world population (53). Most of theseyoung people are located in Asia; the lowest numbers can befound in North America and Europe. The early twenty-first
Thepopulation shifts and growth rates are really dependent onwhat economic level the country is. The uncertainty of demographics is dueto not knowing the rate of immigration. The productstargeted towards teenagers include sneakers, clothes,makeup and electronics. There has been the thought that the teenagers of tomorrowwill be over ambitious, use cheap communication, have themindset of a computer programmer, travel to other places viathe Internet, and provide uncertainty for the future because ofdemographics (55). Theonly way to avoid aging of a population is to have a higherfertility rate. (58) According to Lutz, the average age of the world'spopulation will rise from 28 to 41 years old in 2100, with theincrease of people over 60 years old increasing from 9. For example, a teenager from Mexicowho goes to the United States may not know how to type orsurf the web and therefore will be at a disadvantage in the jobmarket. To distinguish trends in the workforce is also a difficulttask. It hasbeen proven that societies with a large number of males aremore likely to start wars over land, territory and ideology (52). Approximately one in three people are currently under age 15in contrast to one in ten being over 60. The problem withimmigration is those coming from less developed countries tomore developed countries will not know the new technologyand be disadvantaged. But on the same hand, a war or famine candestroy populations all together whether young or old. Also, who willreplace the elderly when they pass on? The base of the agepyramid will narrow and thus cause harm in the long run. The teenagers of the future will be more educated andinformed than the teenagers of the baby boom. Lutz has also projectedthat China and Western Europe will be the two regions mostimpacted by the growing elderly population (57).
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