Cognition1
10) What are some other key biases that influence judgement?Judgement seems to be influenced by a variety of things each have their own implication on judgement. Overconfidence serves as a bias on judgement. Fischhoff, Slovic, and Lichtenstein, in 1997, tested this idea. The participants were given the question "Absinthe is a: A) liquer or B) a precious stone." The subjects were to choose the correct answer, and state the probability of being correct. It was found that when the subjects were 100 percent confident in their answers, they were only correct 80 percent of the time. This provides evidence that there is in fact
Nevertheless, these biases can influence judgement, but they can be combated if recognized in our cognitive capabilities. This bias happens in a variety of forms. Finally, subjects regularly fail to consider alternative hypotheses, which might explain the available data as well as the current beliefs. Instead, they are willing to support a bad argument that leads to a conclusion which they believe is true, and they are willing to reject a good argument, if it leads to conclusions already believed false. After being told the outcomes, the subjects say that the predictions would be easy because the outcomes are obvious. We can see the hindsight bias in many psychology experiments where the subjects are asked to predict the outcomes of an event, doing so with chance accuracy. Another bias that influences judgement is the hindsight bias. , a dissociation between knowledge and awareness. Logic can influence judgement to a certain degree. What they are failing to do is to carefully compare the outcomes with reasoning, which may propagate inaccuracy. Third, subjects will forget non-supporting evidence, and show memory bias toward cases similar to their beliefs. " This bias works on the premises that hindsight is 20/20. The confirmation bias is another bias which influences judgement.
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Acceptance Essays
