Discovering Past Hurricanes To Determine Hurricane Frequency
Discovering Past Hurricanes To Determine Hurricane Frequency When scientists work towards understanding a theory or method, looking into the past proves a useful tool. Studying the past of an area of science can link together other branches of science and their ideas in order to better understand the theory the scientist wants to prove. When predicting hurricane frequency, meteorologists have found it useful to look into the past in order to find the patterns between time and landfalling hurricanes. In order to accomplish this, these scientists must look towards other areas of science in order to produce this timeline of hurricanes. Many scientists have attempted to forecast the United States hurricane climate through the use of probability. James B. Elsner and Brian H. Bossak focused on three regions of the United States (the East coast, Florida, and the Gulf of Mexico) where they studied the historical records of these areas in order to produce a pattern within the amount of landfalling hurricanes (Elsner 4341). They were able to produce statistics, but they realized in their study that the hurricane timeline must extend further back in time in order to produce more accurate results (4348). With more and more scien
Many statistics and concepts also came from this research. With this uncertainty, it would probably be helpful to extend the hurricane timeline farther back in time. The skeletons were all pushed to one area due to the fierce ocean currents that accompany hurricanes (25). Plant life is affected severely by landfall hurricanes, and there is evidence of these alterations in the physical structure of trees. During the duration of their research, they discovered that they were only able to find sediments that pertained to category 4 or 5 hurricanes (334). A research team consisting of Professor Kam-biu Liu and his graduate student Miriam L. During the life cycle of coral, a calcium carbonate skeleton is shed numerous times ("Novel"). The study of lime-mud layers could also be furthered with a little more research. This idea also needs further research to determine if it could be useful in finding past hurricanes. Before the hurricane, the skeletons were spread fairly evenly throughout the ocean floor (25). Pollen studies have not been to popular, but definitiely show potential for adding to hurricane data. Relationships between hurricanes and the Bermuda high have revealed patterns in hurricane frequency differentiating between the Atlantic coast and the Gulf of Mexico (795). Although it seems like an unusual method, this process could be quite helpful to the area of paleotempestology. Using the method and conclusions from their first experiment, they were able to successfully identify many strong past hurricanes all across the southern United States.
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Acceptance Essays
