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TECHNOLOGY CHANGING POLITICAL DYNAMICS

TECHNOLOGY CHANGING POLITICAL DYNAMICS"People Power II" -- as the events of January 17 to 20 are now called -- was different from first "People Power" in February 1986 in three key ways. First, "People Power I" resulted from manipulation of vote counting in the snap elections and triggered by a military faction that was forced to come out in the open after its coup plot was discovered, while "People Power II" resulted from a series of allegations of massive graft on the part of a president and triggered by perceived collusion among 11 Estrada administration-aligned senators to silence a move to present key evidence in the impeachment case. Second, it took almost two decades for civil society to respond forcefully to allegations of massive graft and corruption, human rights violations and a number of other crimes before "People Power I" erupted; and only a little less than three years for the same society to depose a leader who was perceived to be aping the object of hate of the first revolt. The third distinction, however, is a first in Philippine -- maybe even Asian and world -- revolutionary history: "People Power II" showed the power of the Internet and mobile communications technology -- not to mention broadcast medi


The local media picked up Stratfor's analysis as additional proof to the president's weakening leadership. He said the Web allows for more flexible and faster ways to reach citizens and enables leaders to network with their constituents in ways never seen before. The continued increase in PC and Internet penetration in the Philippines should further lead to more active use of technology in politics, said Mr. " He said what set "People Power II" apart from the first EDSA revolt was the pervasive use of new information and media technologies. Stratfor can follow events in the Philippines and other countries in a way not possible before. Estrada to billions of dollars worth of a bank account, and possibly to irregular business transactions. Javier, who is also the current executive director of the political party Reporma Politika led by Executive Secretary Renato de Villa. David said the most revolutionary media was probably the "betamax. They found out the real score through Filipino relatives and friends who would send them betamax tapes of CNN's news coverage on the Philippines, he said. "IT is reconnecting certain factions of the Filipino nation we thought we already lost because of migration," he said. In the same way that the citizenry is able to use the Internet for communication and mobilization, Mr. It permits people to watch things as they unfold," he noted. Javier said the future generation will be more aware and discerning in their judgments. The political analyst urged the newly installed administration of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to tap existing e-communities -- composed of "the young, very forward-looking, highly educated, and familiar with the potentials of technology" -- to help push genuine political and economic reforms.

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